Acordul de Brexit negociat de guvernul premierului britanic Theresa May ar “s\u0103r\u0103ci” Marea Britanie cu 100 de miliarde de lire pe an \u015fi ar determina o sc\u0103dere a valorii economiei britanice de 3,9% pe an, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2030, indic\u0103 o analiz\u0103 independent\u0103 citat\u0103 luni de Press Association.<\/p>\n
Potrivit raportului realizat de Institutul na\u0163ional de cercet\u0103ri economice \u015fi sociale (NIESR), produsul intern brut al Regatului Unit pe cap de locuitor ar sc\u0103dea cu 3% pe an, iar la finele primului deceniu \u00een afara Uniunii Europene comer\u0163ul total dintre Marea Britanie \u015fi bloc s-ar diminua cu 46%, \u00een timp ce investi\u0163iile str\u0103ine directe ar \u00eenregistra o sc\u0103dere de 21% \u015fi productivitatea muncii o sc\u0103dere de 1,3%.<\/p>\n
Pentru a realiza aceast\u0103 analiz\u0103 – solicitat\u0103 de campania People’s Vote, care cere organizarea unui vot popular asupra termenilor acordului de Brexit -, institutul a comparat diferite scenarii de Brexit cu varianta r\u0103m\u00e2nerii Marii Britanii \u00een Uniune, ajung\u00e2nd, \u00eentre altele, la concluzia c\u0103 veniturile fiscale ar sc\u0103dea cu 1,5 p\u00e2n\u0103 la 2%, echivalentul unei diminu\u0103ri cu 18 miliarde – 23 miliarde de lire a aloc\u0103rii pentru servicii publice, la pre\u0163urile de ast\u0103zi.<\/p>\n
“Principala noastr\u0103 concluzie este c\u0103, dac\u0103 propunerea guvernamental\u0103 de Brexit va fi implementat\u0103 astfel ca Marea Britanie s\u0103 ias\u0103 din uniunea vamal\u0103 \u015fi de pe pia\u0163a unic\u0103 a UE \u00een 2021, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2030 PIB va ajunge s\u0103 fie cu circa 4% mai mic dec\u00e2t ar fi fost \u00een cazul r\u0103m\u00e2nerii \u00een Uniune, aceasta \u00een mare parte pentru c\u0103 v\u00e2nzarea de servicii britanice ar deveni mai pu\u0163in atractiv\u0103. Acest lucru ar descuraja investi\u0163iile \u00een Marea Britanie \u015fi ar face \u00een final ca lucr\u0103torii din Regatul Unit s\u0103 fie mai pu\u0163in productivi dec\u00e2t ar fi fost dac\u0103 \u0163ara ar fi r\u0103mas \u00een UE”, explic\u0103 autorii analizei.<\/p>\n
Raportul urmeaz\u0103 s\u0103 fie prezentat luni la Londra de liderul Liberal-Democra\u0163ilor britanici, Vince Cable, \u015fi de deputatul laburist Pat McFadden.<\/p>\n
AGERPRES<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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